The Kamala Harris basement campaign seemed to be working for a while. Lots
of Democrats were understandably excited to be getting rid of aging Joe
Biden as their standard-bearer. And a carefully choreographed rollout of
Harris, then Walz gave them weeks of positive news to build on. But about
3-4 weeks ago the air started going out of the balloon.

The national media started noticing that Harris had decided to sidestep
them in favor of radio interviews (where she could read from her notes) or
local swing-state interviews which were unlikely to make national news if
she got herself in trouble. The Harris campaign was clearly trying to run
out the clock but you almost feel that it wasn't working. They were
risking letting Trump climb back into the race.

Jump forward to today and with just two weeks left to go, most polls show
things have been drifting toward Trump nationally. The race now appears to
be a tie in every battleground state.

Most of the major national polls have showed a shift toward Mr. Trump
since their prior surveys:

Mr. Trump led by two points nationwide in a Fox News poll; Ms. Harris led
by two points in its prior poll.

Fairleigh Dickinson University found Ms. Harris ahead by three nationwide,
while she led by seven in its prior poll.

Marquette Law School found a tied race, compared with a six-point lead for
Ms. Harris in August.

Ipsos fielded several polls showing Ms. Harris up between two and four
points over the last week, compared with leads of mostly five or six
points in September.

Emerson College found a tied race, compared with a two-point lead for Ms.
Harris in its prior poll.

Again, what matters here is not what any individual poll says but the
agreement of all the polls (except for Marist which showed Harris up 5)
that the race is moving toward Trump. It looks like Harris' run-out-the-
clock strategy didn't work.

With polls now showing a tie the obvious question becomes, how reliable
with the polling be this year? It has underestimated Trump's support
before. Is it doing so again this year? Unfortunately the answer to that
question is that no one really knows.

Will the polls be wrong again this cycle?

It�s the question I probably get most, for obvious reasons. Unfortunately,
it�s not an easy one to answer, and one reason might surprise you:
Pollsters still don�t know exactly why the polls underestimated Donald J.
Trump four years ago.

As a post-election report by professional pollsters put it: �Identifying
conclusively why polls overstated the Democratic-Republican margin
relative to the certified vote appears to be impossible with the available
data.�

The exact explanation matters. Under some theories, polls may be much
better in 2024; under others, pollsters are still vulnerable to another
misfire.

So the polls could be right this time out and we could be looking at the
tightest of tie races. Or, the polls could be underestimating Trump's
support again and Trump might actually be ahead by 3-4 points in every
battleground state, which would make for a very sad election night for
Democrats.

I can only guess as the outcome but at this moment it does feel as if this
is slipping away from the Dems and maybe they know it too. But of course
there are still 2 weeks to go and cornered animals are dangerous, as the
saying goes. There's no telling what October surprise Democrats have been
holding onto just in case things look desperate.

https://hotair.com/john-s-2/2024/10/22/with-two-weeks-to-go-kamalas-edge-
has-evaporated-n3796127

>
>The Kamala Harris basement campaign seemed to be working for a while. Lots
>of Democrats were understandably excited to be getting rid of aging Joe
>Biden as their standard-bearer. And a carefully choreographed rollout of
>Harris, then Walz gave them weeks of positive news to build on. But about
>3-4 weeks ago the air started going out of the balloon.
>

When Trump wins he will use the military to exact revenge on ALL his
enemies in a glorious patriotic bloodbath! The list is endless!

https://www.whbc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/tiara-ford-rape-640x400.png
Tiara Ford (Stark County jail)

MASSILLON, Ohio (News Talk 1480 WHBC) – A disturbing crime from inside a local nursing home.

A former nurse aid at The Inn at University Village in Massillon is accused of sexually assaulting men in their 80s and 90s over a two-year period.

23-year-old Tiara Ford is jailed on rape charges.

She’s accused of assaulting three men who were unable to consent or resist because of their physical or mental conditions, according to court records.

She’s in court on Friday.

https://www.whbc.com/canton-woman-faces-sex-crimes-charges-while-working-at-massillon-nursing-home/