He wants the blacks to love him so badly he keeps claiming they do!

Watch him go blackface next week at his rally.

Fact check: Trump falsely claims polls show his Black support has
quadrupled or quintupled since his mug shot

Former President Donald Trump falsely claimed Wednesday that polls show
his support among Black Americans has quadrupled or quintupled since his
mug shot was released.

The booking photo was taken on August 24, when Trump was arrested in Fulton
County, Georgia, on charges connected to his efforts to overturn his defeat
in the state in the 2020 election.

On Wednesday, Trump claimed in a falsehood-filled interview with
conservative commentator Hugh Hewitt that �many Democrats� will be voting
for him in the 2024 election because they agree with him that the criminal
charges against him in four cases are unfair. He then made this assertion:
�The Black community is so different for me in the last � since that mug
shot was taken, I don�t know if you�ve seen the polls; my polls with the
Black community have gone up four and five times.�

Facts First: National public polls do not show anything close to an
increase of �four and five times� in Black support for Trump since his mug
shot was taken, either in a race against President Joe Biden or in his own
favorability rating; Trump�s campaign did not respond to CNN�s request to
identify any poll that corroborates Trump�s claim. Most polls conducted
after the release of the mug shot did find a higher level of Black support
for Trump than he had in previous polls � but the increases were within the
polls� margins of error, not massive spikes, so it�s not clear whether
there was a genuine improvement or the bump was just statistical noise. In
addition, one poll found a decline in Trump�s strength with Black voters in
a race against Biden, while another found a decline in his favorability
with Black respondents even as he improved in a race against Biden.

Because Black adults make up a relatively small share of the overall
population, they tend to have small sample sizes in national public polls.
That means the margins of error for this group are big and the results tend
to bounce around from poll to poll. And even if Trump�s recent polling
improvement captures a real change in voter sentiment, there is no evidence
that change has anything to do with his mug shot, which no poll asked
about; it could just as well have to do with, say, the summer increase in
the price of gas or any of numerous other factors affecting perceptions of
Biden.

Regardless, Trump greatly exaggerated the size of the recent uptick seen in
some polls. Here�s a look at what polls actually show about his recent
standing with the Black population, plus a fact check of three of Trump�s
many other false claims from the Hewitt interview.
What the polls show

CNN identified five national public polls that: 1) included data on Black
respondents in particular; 2) were conducted after Trump�s mug shot was
released on August 24; 3) were conducted by pollsters who had also released
polls in the recent past.

Four of the polls showed gains for Trump among Black respondents, though
much smaller gains than the quadrupling or quintupling he claimed to
Hewitt.

Trump gained 3 percentage points with Black respondents in polling by The
Economist and YouGov, though within the margin of error � going from 17%
against Biden in mid-August to 20% in late August. (The earlier poll asked
the Trump-versus-Biden question of Black adults regardless of whether they
are registered to vote, while the later poll asked the question to Black
registered voters, so the results might not be directly comparable.) At the
same time, Trump�s favorability with Black respondents was down 9
percentage points to 18%.

Trump gained 3 percentage points with Black registered voters between a
Messenger/Harris X poll in early July and a survey by the same pollster in
late August, edging up from 22% against Biden to 25%. Trump gained 6
percentage points among Black adults in polling by the firm Premise, going
from 12% against Biden in an Aug. 17-21 poll to 18% in an Aug. 30-Sept. 5
poll. He gained 8 percentage points among Black registered voters in
polling by Republican firm Echelon Insights, going from 14% against Biden
in late July to 22% in late August. Based on the sample sizes reported for
Black respondents in each poll, all of those changes are within the margin
of error.

One of the five polls, by Emerson College, showed Trump�s standing with
Black registered voters worsening after the mug shot was released, though
this change was also within the margin of error. In Emerson�s mid-August
poll, Trump had about 27% Black support in a race against Biden; in its
late-August poll, he had about 19% support.

In addition to looking at those five polls, we contacted The Wall Street
Journal about an Aug. 24-30 poll, conducted jointly by Republican and
Democratic pollsters, for which the newspaper has not yet released detailed
demographic-by-demographic results. Aaron Zitner, a Journal reporter and
editor who works on the poll, told us that Trump�s level of support with
Black voters �didn�t change at all� between the paper�s April poll and this
new poll, though Biden�s standing declined slightly within the margin of
error.

Exit polls estimated that Trump received 12% of the Black vote in the 2020
election. A post-election Pew Research Center analysis found that he
received 8%.